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surfer
June 26th, 2005, 11:34 AM
Just a little excercise illustrating the futility
of a doubler pay structure and how things
continually get worse.

I thought I would show the impact of
several different trends on an EPC that
was purchased on 6/24/05.

12 Month Trend

On 6/24/04 the cycle time was at 72 days.

Cycle time went up 172 days in a 365 day
period.

Based on the 12 month trend, an EPC
purchased on 6/24/05 would cycle for
the first time in 461 days(1 year 96 days)
and would cycle a second time 872 days
(2 years 142 days) later.

9 Month Trend

On 9/24/04 the cycle time was at 89 days.

Cycle time went up 155 days in a 273 day
period.

The 9 month trend would have your 6/24/05
EPC purchase cycling the first time in 564
days(1 year 199 days) and cycling a second
time 1306 days(3 years 211 days) later.

6 Month Trend

On 12/23/04 the cycle time was 103 days.

Cycle time went up 141 days in a 183 day
period.

The 6 month trend would have your 6/24/05
EPC purchase cycling the first time in 1063
days(2 years 333 days) and cycling a second
time 4632 days(12 years 252 days) later.

3 Month Trend

On 3/23/05 the cycle time was 163 days.

Cycle time went up 81 days in a 93 day
period.

The 3 month trend would have your 6/24/05
EPC purchase cycling the first time in 1891
days(5 years 66 days) and cycling a second
time 14,655 days(40 years 55 days) later.

A doubler pay structure is a losing battle
for everyone except the owner and the
early members.

Outside revenue could slow down, or even
temporarily reverse the trend. But in the
long run, there can never be a stable
cycle time, i.e. 60-90 days.

Dreamer
June 26th, 2005, 08:02 PM
Interesting analysis. However, u might also want to update it with approximate payouts during that time to see what the payout trends are, since that is related to CT.

surfer
June 26th, 2005, 08:20 PM
Dreamer, you'd simply have to take the "commissions
paid" stats from the various time periods and better
than double them. From what I've done, each cycle
usually ends up around 220% - 230% of the previous
cycle.

surfer
June 26th, 2005, 08:22 PM
Scratch that reply. I read your question wrong. :D

Perhaps I'll put something together as time permits.